Grain represents biggest commodity increase in rail traffic

Farm Forum

U.S. rail traffic, including carloadings of all commodity types, has increased 4.5% through October 2014 compared to the same period in 2013. Crude oil and petroleum products had the second-biggest increase in carloadings through the first 10 months of this year, with these shipments occurring in parts of the country where there is also strong demand to move coal and grain by rail. In response to shipper concerns over the slow movement of crude oil, coal, grain, ethanol, and propane, federal regulators are closely tracking service among the major U.S. freight railroad companies.

Increased movement of grain represents the biggest commodity increase in rail traffic so far this year, up about 15% to 878,824 carloadings, according to AAR. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts a record harvest of corn and soybean crops this year. Harvesting of these crops is well underway in the major growing areas in the northern Great Plains states, according to USDA’s crop progress reports.

Rail carloadings of oil and petroleum products totaled 672,118 tank cars during January-October 2014, 13.4% higher compared to the same period last year, according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR). Rising U.S. crude oil production, particularly in North Dakota’s Bakken Shale formation, where pipeline takeaway capacity is limited in moving the state’s growing oil volumes to market, is one of the main reasons for this increase in rail shipments of petroleum and petroleum products.

Rail shipments of coal were up a relatively small 0.3% during the same period, but coal is still by far the largest commodity volume moved by rail, with 4.9 million carloadings. Power plant operators are seeking more coal deliveries by rail to rebuild their coal stockpiles, which were drawn down during last winter’s colder-than-normal weather. Rail also moves U.S. coal to various points for export. At the national level, coal exports were down nearly 16% during the first half of this year, but coal exports from the Seattle Customs District (mostly sourced from Wyoming’s Powder River Basin) were up 2.4% during the first half of 2014.

On October 22, the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Surface Transportation Board (STB) began requiring major freight rail carriers to file weekly updates on their service performance in delivering goods and commodities

On a related note, John Miller, vice president of ag products group for BNSF, provided this information in a podcast this week:

“Derailments in Nebraska and New Mexico impacted service this week resulting in fairly short outages. Traffic within the corridor was current within 24 hours.

“The 55 miles of double track between Minot, North Dakota and Glasgow, Montana is completed for 2014.

“Tie and rail replacement continues within North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana and Washington. The work between Aberdeen and Hettinger, N.D., projects will continue into winter as weather conditions allow.

“We have seen improvements in some of our critical performance measures for agricultural commodities, however this week’s trips per month measure is trending below our target of 2.5 trips to the Pacific Northwest. Turn times are 2.1 overall and 2.0 to the Pacific Northwest.

“The company continues to focus on the movement of grain at this critical time for moving soybeans. They are very focused on improvement of cycle times and the handling the volume of grain.

“By the end of the year, 900 new hopper cars will be added to the fleet,” Miller said.